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美國MBA ESSAY:迪斯尼案例分析

時間:2019-08-27 10:31來源:未知 作者:anne 點擊:
Disney Case Study迪士尼案例研究 方案NPV M$IRR%此方案NPV與基本方案差異的可能性 基本情況($2242)-4.91%- 1($2580)-8.64%21.30%(338美元) 2($2557)-8.40%21.30%(315美元) 3($2665)-8.96%21.30%(423美元)

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Disney Case Study迪士尼案例研究
方案NPV M$IRR%此方案NPV與基本方案差異的可能性
基本情況($2242)-4.91%-
1($2580)-8.64%21.30%(338美元)
2($2557)-8.40%21.30%(315美元)
3($2665)-8.96%21.30%(423美元)
Combi-1(2847美元)-12.34%12%(605美元)
Combi-2(3207美元)-17.75%12%(965美元)
Combi-3(2939美元)-12.86%12%(697美元)
最終($2173.34)-8.78%100%$69
1。查看您的數據和結果
結果的詳細信息顯示在Excel工作表中。
Scenario NPV M$ IRR% Likelihood of this scenario NPV DIFF from base case
Base Case ($2,242) -4.91% -
1 ($2,580) -8.64% 21.30% ($338)
2 ($2,557) -8.40% 21.30% ($315)
3 ($2,665) -8.96% 21.30% ($423)
Combi-1 ($2,847) -12.34% 12% ($605)
Combi-2 ($3,207) -17.75% 12% ($965)
Combi-3 ($2,939) -12.86% 12% ($697)
FINAL ($2,173.34) -8.78% 100% $69 
1. Review your data and results
The detail of the result is present in the Excel Sheet.
 
基本情況,最壞情況1、2、3;最壞情況組合1、2和3。每個場景都有其可能性,這意味著發生的可能性。
每種情況下計算結果的詳細信息將在Excel表中引用。
 
2。就向董事會推薦什么形成意見
項目凈現值為負,基本情況和各種最壞情況的內部收益率為負。
 
三.根據你對每種情況的估計可能性得出最終結論
 
最后結論請參考上表,凈現值為-21.73億美元,內部收益率為-8.78%。
The Base Case, Worst Cases 1, 2, 3; Worst Cases Combination 1, 2 and 3. Each of the Scenario has its likelihood, meaning the probability of occurrence.  
The details of the result calculated in each case would be referred to in the Excel sheet. 
 
2. Form an opinion about what to recommend to the BoD
The NPV of the project is negative, and the IRR% is negative for the Base Case and also for the various Worst Cases.
 
3. Based on your estimated likelihood of each scenario come to a final conclusion
 
Please refer to the table above for the Final Conclusion, the NPV = -$2173 million and the IRR = -8.78% overall.
 
4. Think about “exit-strategies” if this project goes SOUTH
(1) To sell the Theme Park business segments of Disney to other companies. The disposals of such business with less profit making would increase the total revenue of the Group.
(2) To separate out the Theme Park business segments of Disney and make it IPO
(3) To replace the current CEO with a better candidate who would run more the company more efficiently and profitably.
 
5. What is your contingency-plan?
 
Having enough insurance covered for the properties, i.e. the theme park, and other entertainment properties and also covered for the employees in the company.
 
6. How will you manage risks that can be managed?
 
(1) FX CurrencyRisk Management
To use currency risk instruments like the FX swap or FX forward derivatives between the USD and the Brazilian Real BRL currency pair to mitigate the risk. 
 
(2) Operational Risk Management
As Disney, being such a big organization with different and diversified business segments individually, risk can be identified, defined and quantified at each individual Business Unit. 
Risk Management strategies and policies can be developed and implemented with the leaders of different business units and being reported to the Management and Board of Directors for review and approval.
 
(3) Concentration Risk Management
As Disney has a large presence in the United States and the business is running in the single concentrated markets, there is possibility of concentrated business models. As such, concentrated risk management could be mitigated by having more business presence all over the world in different regions. 















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